Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -12 (64-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Connell * | 39 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | +16.5 |
| DJ Horne * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +15.0 |
| Casey Morsell * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +5.1 |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 29 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Mohamed Diarra * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Jayden Taylor | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +8.6 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCain * | 40 | 8-20 | 5-11 | 11-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 19 | -11.9 |
| Jeremy Roach * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -9.6 |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -10.3 |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 30 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -13.4 |
| Mark Mitchell * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Ryan Young | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6.2 |
| TJ Power | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter