Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +25 (77-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Shannon Jr. * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -24.6 |
| Marcus Domask * | 35 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | -21.7 |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -11.8 |
| Quincy Guerrier * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Ty Rodgers * | 8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Luke Goode | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -20.7 |
| Justin Harmon | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Dain Dainja | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.3 |
| Amani Hansberry | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Niccolo Moretti | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spencer * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 22 | +20.4 |
| Tristen Newton * | 31 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +30.4 |
| Alex Karaban * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +26.3 |
| Stephon Castle * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +10.7 |
| Donovan Clingan * | 22 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 28 | +25.4 |
| Hassan Diarra | 25 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +11.0 |
| Samson Johnson | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +7.9 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Solomon Ball | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Jayden Ross | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Andrew Hurley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Andre Johnson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Youssouf Singare | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter