Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -3 (51-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared McCain * | 40 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +3.3 |
| Jeremy Roach * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Mark Mitchell * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Young | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +17.7 |
| Jaylen Blakes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sean Stewart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Cryer * | 39 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Emanuel Sharp * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Ja'Vier Francis * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -0.8 |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Jamal Shead * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Mylik Wilson | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8.4 |
| Damian Dunn | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Cedric Lath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter