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2024-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Houston Cougars -3 (51-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McCain * 40 3-6 1-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 4 7 7 +3.3
J. Roach * 38 5-14 1-4 3-3 3 3 0 0 4 14 2 +2.9
T. Proctor * 38 3-8 1-4 2-2 1 4 3 0 1 9 8 -2.0
K. Filipowski * 34 6-14 3-5 1-3 9 2 0 0 2 16 11 +1.4
M. Mitchell * 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Young 23 2-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 7 +17.7
J. Blakes 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Stewart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L.J. Cryer * 39 7-14 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 15 1 -1.5
E. Sharp * 36 2-7 0-2 3-3 1 1 1 1 0 7 4 -1.5
J. Francis * 34 3-6 0-0 1-4 8 1 0 2 2 7 10 -0.8
J. Roberts * 29 5-9 0-0 3-8 8 1 1 1 1 13 14 +4.5
J. Shead * 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 2 2 +6.3
M. Wilson 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 5 -8.4
D. Dunn 14 0-4 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -1.6
R. Walker Jr. 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -5.5
C. Lath 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter