Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -2 (87-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears * | 40 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | +9.0 |
| Grant Nelson * | 36 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 10-13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 32 | +5.6 |
| Aaron Estrada * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Rylan Griffen * | 29 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Nick Pringle * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Sam Walters | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +7.7 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +8.4 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Mohamed Wague | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.5 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 38 | 4-20 | 0-9 | 8-9 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Harrison Ingram * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | -9.7 |
| Cormac Ryan * | 37 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | -0.7 |
| Armando Bacot * | 34 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 13 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -11.2 |
| Paxson Wojcik | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Seth Trimble | 11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Jalen Washington | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter