Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bez Mbeng * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -24.6 |
| Danny Wolf * | 31 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -17.4 |
| August Mahoney * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -20.3 |
| Matt Knowling * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -23.3 |
| John Poulakidas * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -13.2 |
| Yassine Gharram | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Nick Townsend | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Casey Simmons | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Samson Aletan | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Jack Molloy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Y. Basa-Ama | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Emir Buyukhanli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Teo Rice | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Trevor Mullin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Trammell * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 20 | +20.8 |
| Jaedon Ledee * | 29 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | +22.8 |
| Micah Parrish * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | +18.9 |
| Lamont Butler * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +22.7 |
| Jay Pal * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Elijah Saunders | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +21.8 |
| R. Waters | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Miles Byrd | 14 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +13.5 |
| Miles Heide | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Cam Lawin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| BJ Davis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Cade Alger | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Ryan Schwarz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter