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2024-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% -
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% -
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mbeng * 34 5-13 2-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 12 6 -24.6
D. Wolf * 31 2-8 2-3 3-4 10 5 1 0 4 9 13 -17.4
A. Mahoney * 31 3-9 1-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 7 0 -20.3
M. Knowling * 30 5-8 0-0 1-3 2 2 1 0 2 11 6 -23.3
J. Poulakidas * 29 2-9 2-5 3-3 0 2 0 0 1 9 1 -13.2
Y. Gharram 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -12.5
N. Townsend 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -1.7
C. Simmons 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.7
S. Aletan 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -6.7
J. Molloy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0
Y. Basa-Ama 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1.0
E. Buyukhanli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
T. Rice 2 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1.0
T. Mullin 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.0

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Trammell * 30 5-8 4-7 4-4 5 4 3 1 3 18 20 +20.8
J. LeDee * 29 9-12 2-2 6-8 9 1 1 0 2 26 23 +22.8
M. Parrish * 26 3-8 0-4 1-1 6 4 2 0 3 7 8 +18.9
L. Butler * 22 3-6 2-3 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 9 8 +22.7
J. Pal * 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 +3.2
E. Saunders 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 7 +21.8
R. Waters 20 1-7 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 0 -0.2
M. Byrd 14 3-4 3-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 9 10 +13.5
M. Heide 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 +2.6
D. Johnson Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.0
C. Lawin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
BJ Davis 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 +0.8
C. Alger 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +1.0
R. Schwarz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter