Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | -8.0 |
| Malik Hall * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | -13.1 |
| Jaden Akins * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -4.3 |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 29 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -5.6 |
| Carson Cooper * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.2 |
| Xavier Booker | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Tre Holloman | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Mady Sissoko | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +9.0 |
| Coen Carr | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Steven Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Davis Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Nick Sanders | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Ingram * | 35 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +11.9 |
| RJ Davis * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Armando Bacot * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +10.7 |
| Cormac Ryan * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +10.9 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +16.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Jalen Washington | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Paxson Wojcik | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.5 |
| Duwe Farris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Creighton Lebo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| James Okonkwo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Zayden High | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Rob Landry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter