Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koby Brea * | 39 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -7.6 |
| DaRon Holmes II * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 20 | -6.0 |
| Nate Santos * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Kobe Elvis * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Javon Bennett | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Petras Padegimas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Isaac Jack | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelle Larsson * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | +5.6 |
| Keshad Johnson * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +8.3 |
| Caleb Love * | 35 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Oumar Ballo * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Kylan Boswell * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Jaden Bradley | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +6.1 |
| KJ Lewis | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +9.1 |
| Motiejus Krivas | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +6.0 |
* = starter