Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -18 (51-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | +19.4 |
| Jaden Akins * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +9.3 |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | +15.4 |
| Malik Hall * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | +14.3 |
| Carson Cooper * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Mady Sissoko | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | +7.2 |
| Tre Holloman | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +7.2 |
| Xavier Booker | 11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +8.1 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Coen Carr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Steven Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Davis Smith | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.0 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard * | 34 | 6-18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | -12.4 |
| Tolu Smith III * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -11.3 |
| Dashawn Davis * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -11.2 |
| Cameron Matthews * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -8.3 |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -17.2 |
| Shakeel Moore | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -9.2 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.2 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Isaac Stansbury | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Gai Chol | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Adrian Myers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Trey Fort | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter