Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarod Lucas * | 38 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Nick Davidson * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -6.2 |
| Kenan Blackshear * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | +15.4 |
| Tre Coleman * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Daniel Foster | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Tylan Pope | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Tyler Rolison | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -15.9 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koby Brea * | 38 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Nate Santos * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +15.6 |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| DaRon Holmes II * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 23 | +4.2 |
| Kobe Elvis * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +9.2 |
| Javon Bennett | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Isaac Jack | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Petras Padegimas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
* = starter