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2024-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - โœ“
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 โœ— (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“

Actual: Boise State Broncos -7 (53-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
KJ Simpson * 39 6-18 1-5 6-6 11 4 2 0 1 19 17 +3.0
T. da Silva * 37 7-11 3-6 3-3 3 1 0 1 2 20 12 -2.4
J'Vonne Hadley * 37 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 2 7 +4.8
Eddie Lampkin * 35 6-8 0-0 1-1 6 3 0 0 4 13 10 +3.8
Luke O'Brien * 30 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 2 0 1 5 5 +5.9
C. Williams 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -3 -5.1
J. Ruffin 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 1 1 3 +3.9
B. Dak 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Roddie Anderson III * 38 6-15 1-3 1-2 4 0 2 0 1 14 4 +0.7
Chibuzo Agbo * 37 8-14 1-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 17 6 +0.8
O'Mar Stanley * 30 1-9 0-1 2-2 11 0 1 0 2 4 5 -1.2
Tyson Degenhart * 30 3-10 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 6 2 -1.9
Max Rice * 28 1-9 0-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 -4 -2.1
Cam Martin 24 4-8 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 0 2 10 9 -0.3
Andrew Meadow 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.9
Kobe Young 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 +3.1
Jace Whiting 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter