Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✗ (28.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -25 (42-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +20.4 |
| Joel Scott * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | +27.6 |
| Nique Clifford * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | +21.9 |
| Patrick Cartier * | 23 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +19.4 |
| Josiah Strong * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +15.8 |
| Jalen Lake | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +8.3 |
| Joe Palmer | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +3.6 |
| Taviontae Jackson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Kyan. Evans | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2.8 |
| Jack Payne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
| K. Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke Murphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely * | 36 | 2-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -5 | -25.0 |
| Reece Beekman * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | -19.7 |
| Taine Murray * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.3 |
| Ryan Dunn * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -20.5 |
| Jordan Minor * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Jacob Groves | 19 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -6.7 |
| Andrew Rohde | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.7 |
| Blake Buchanan | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Dante Harris | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Leon Bond III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Elijah Gertrude | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
* = starter