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2024-04-01

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% -
Bradley-Terry 78.7% 21.3% -
Margin 87.0% 13.0% -10.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Log Adjusted 96.5% 3.5% -

Actual: USC Trojans -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Bueckers 40 11-23 3-6 3-3 10 6 3 2 2 28 24 -
A. Edwards 40 7-13 0-0 10-14 6 1 0 1 4 24 15 -
N. Muhl 40 2-5 1-2 3-6 5 8 2 1 3 8 16 -
KK Arnold 26 2-4 0-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
A. Shade 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
I. Brady 19 3-4 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 8 5 -
Q. Samuels 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Watkins 39 9-25 2-6 9-9 10 2 1 2 4 29 15 -
M. Forbes 37 8-22 5-15 3-3 3 3 0 1 2 24 7 -
K. Davis 36 1-6 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
K. Padilla 34 1-9 1-7 0-0 0 2 3 0 1 3 -2 -
R. Marshall 32 3-7 0-0 5-6 11 2 2 1 0 11 20 -
T. Bigby 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
K. Williams 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Akunwafo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter