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2024-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +4.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“

Actual: USC Trojans +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs 36 6-14 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 0 12 12 -
Jada Walker 36 7-13 0-0 1-2 3 7 0 0 1 15 11 -
Sarah Andrews 36 6-18 5-13 0-2 2 3 3 1 3 17 5 -
Bella Fontleroy 30 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 -1 -
D. Edwards 23 3-8 2-4 1-2 12 5 1 1 2 9 18 -
A. Blackwell 19 4-7 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
Yaya Felder 9 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Jana Van Gytenbeek 7 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Denae Fritz 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JuJu Watkins 39 8-28 2-11 12-13 6 4 1 4 2 30 15 -
K. Padilla 36 3-6 1-3 1-1 4 3 1 1 3 8 8 -
M. Forbes 35 5-12 2-2 2-3 2 2 0 1 3 14 4 -
K. Davis 33 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
Rayah Marshall 31 5-10 0-0 1-2 16 1 0 1 1 11 18 -
Clarice Akunwafo 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Kayla Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Taylor Bigby 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter