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2024-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% -
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% -
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: USC Trojans +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Littlepage-Buggs 36 6-14 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 0 12 12 -
J. Walker 36 7-13 0-0 1-2 3 7 0 0 1 15 11 -
S. Andrews 36 6-18 5-13 0-2 2 3 3 1 3 17 5 -
B. Fontleroy 30 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 -1 -
D. Edwards 23 3-8 2-4 1-2 12 5 1 1 2 9 18 -
A. Blackwell 19 4-7 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
Y. Felder 9 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Van Gytenbeek 7 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Fritz 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Watkins 39 8-28 2-11 12-13 6 4 1 4 2 30 15 -
K. Padilla 36 3-6 1-3 1-1 4 3 1 1 3 8 8 -
M. Forbes 35 5-12 2-2 2-3 2 2 0 1 3 14 4 -
K. Davis 33 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
R. Marshall 31 5-10 0-0 1-2 16 1 0 1 1 11 18 -
C. Akunwafo 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
K. Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Bigby 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter