Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeeDee Hagemann | 40 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| M. Joiner | 37 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Theryn Hallock | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Julia Ayrault | 29 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. Ozment | 26 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Jocelyn Tate | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Abbey Kimball | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deja Kelly | 40 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Lexi Donarski | 39 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Alyssa Ustby | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Indya Nivar | 29 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Maria Gakdeng | 22 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Teonni Key | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Anya Poole | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Barker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter