Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Carver | 32 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Frazier | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zada Porter | 25 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| F. Alston | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Alexis Black | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rylan Moffitt | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Lewis | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Chae Harris | 12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Bugajski | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J'Mani Ingram | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| MaKenzie Drout | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Zarycki | 40 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| G. Saxman | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| De'Ahna Richardson | 28 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Megan Wagner | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Hannah Spitzley | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Elder | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Nile Muguira Orbe | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Glenn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter