Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +5 (109-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maddox Jr. * | 45 | 8-19 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| T. Cochran * | 44 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| S. Wilson * | 44 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Simmons * | 41 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| R. Moss * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Lewis | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Lorentsson | 8 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| G. Brcic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Ford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Wight | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Harcum * | 43 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Abson * | 39 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| D. Gregory * | 38 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 25 | - |
| T. Spillers * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| X. Brown * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Tate | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J. Marsh | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| CJ Huntley | 27 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Mantis | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter