Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basheer Jihad * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Jojo Anderson * | 37 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Bailey * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Pearson Jr. * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Middleton * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mason Jones | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Hendriks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jurica Zagorsak | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Sykes * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 28 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dontae Horne | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Coleton Benson | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Nix | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter