Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✗ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -16 (56-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Ware | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -10.0 |
| Aicha Coulibaly | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | -12.4 |
| J. Barker | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -8.3 |
| K. Green | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -16.5 |
| Sahara Jones | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -17.4 |
| E. Rogers | 16 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| MJ Johnson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.5 |
| T. Hylton | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | +3.2 |
| Sydney Bowles | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2.7 |
| Solè Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.3 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Park-Lane | 38 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Carter | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jerkaila Jordan | 33 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -5.9 |
| D. Rogers | 26 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +14.9 |
| Debreasha Powe | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Mjracle Sheppard | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +11.5 |
| E. Barnum | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.6 |
| Quanirah Montague | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.1 |
* = starter