Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +36 (85-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyenne Stubbs | 36 | 6-20 | 3-10 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | -30.2 |
| M. Smith | 29 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -31.1 |
| I. Finley | 24 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -28.1 |
| T. Hill-Brown | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Verdan | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -32.4 |
| L. Knapp | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Gracie Johnson | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Samiana Suguturaga | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Skye Miller | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| L. Crocker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Isabella Tanedo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.3 |
| B. Mullings | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.3 |
| A. Wetta | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar. Naro | 26 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Natalie Pasco | 25 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +26.9 |
| Mya Hansen | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +16.2 |
| Abby Muse | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 26 | +29.9 |
| Dani Bayes | 19 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +10.5 |
| E. Lalotte | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +23.4 |
| Linsey Lovrovich | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +8.5 |
| T. Hull | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | +0.7 |
| Tatum Thompson | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Alyssa Christensen | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Jayda Clark | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.8 |
| K. Burgess | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Allie Hueckman | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Sydney McQuietor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Mac. Naro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter