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2024-03-10

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 5.2% 94.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 4.0% 96.0% - ✓
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +25.8 ✓ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 3.3% 96.7% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +21 (72-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ma 39 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 2 3 0 1 10 10 -20.1
Sydni Summers 35 7-20 4-11 4-4 4 3 1 0 4 22 6 -8.9
S. Kelemeni 31 3-9 1-3 1-1 6 3 0 0 3 8 5 -14.7
Maya Anderson 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -17.2
S. Smith 18 0-4 0-0 2-4 6 2 0 1 4 2 3 -6.2
Amhyia Moreland 16 1-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 1 +3.5
A. Fluker 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -8.3
Marisa Davis-Jones 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 0 1 -9.9
Nailea Nicholas 8 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 5 -4.4
M. Grizelj 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.8
S. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.1

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lewis 27 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 +19.0
S. Barcello 24 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 1 1 5 5 +12.5
K. Villalobos 24 5-9 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 2 1 11 12 +14.9
M. Fiso 21 4-5 2-2 5-5 3 3 1 0 2 15 15 +12.4
A. Prohaska 21 3-4 2-2 4-4 5 2 4 1 1 12 19 +8.9
K. Pepe 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 3 1 4 9 -4.3
A. Quezada 17 2-5 0-0 4-6 5 1 0 2 1 8 10 +16.2
M. Davis 15 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 2 +0.0
A. Jackson 13 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.3
J. Green 12 2-8 0-5 1-2 0 2 1 0 3 5 -3 +6.8
N. Grizelj 4 1-2 0-1 1-4 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -3.1
E. Chen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.1

* = starter