Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +21 (85-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sinclair | 35 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -3 | |||
| M. Hartwig | 31 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | ||
| T. Smith | 30 | -1 | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| K. Mason Striverson | 29 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | |
| N. Thomas | 28 | 7-17 | - | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 |
| J. Palomo Vicente | 21 | -2 | -1 | - | 1 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| B. Tomancova | 19 | 5-8 | - | -3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | ||
| S. Bradley | 5 | - | - | - | 0 | ||||||
| T. Dozier | 2 | - | - | - | 0 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Coffey | 23 | 4-4 | 2-2 | - | 8 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | ||
| M. Wong | 22 | 5-7 | -1 | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | ||
| K. Bullman | 21 | 1-2 | -1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | ||
| A. Aalsma | 20 | 2-2 | 2-2 | - | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | |||
| S. Dowell | 18 | 6-8 | - | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | |
| M. Lenz | 18 | 1-2 | -1 | - | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| D. Smith | 17 | 3-5 | -1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | |
| S. McGowan | 16 | 1-3 | - | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | ||
| C. Waite | 15 | 2-8 | 1-5 | - | 1 | 5 | -2 | ||||
| D. Wilson | 11 | 3-5 | - | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | |
| H. Kelle | 9 | 3-4 | - | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | |||
| T. Veach | 5 | -1 | - | - | 1 | 0 | |||||
| L. Cohen | 5 | - | - | - | 2 | 2 |
* = starter