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2024-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Storr * 38 7-20 2-7 8-10 5 1 3 0 1 24 12 -1.4
Chucky Hepburn * 36 7-13 0-2 6-6 5 5 3 0 1 20 19 -7.1
Steven Crowl * 35 5-12 1-4 0-0 5 5 0 1 0 11 10 -7.4
Max Klesmit * 27 6-8 4-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 16 12 +3.4
Tyler Wahl * 22 2-3 0-0 3-4 1 3 1 0 2 7 7 +9.8
Carter Gilmore 16 2-3 0-1 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 7 6 -12.2
John Blackwell 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.6
Kamari McGee 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +0.4
Nolan Winter 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.3

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Domask * 39 8-11 1-1 9-10 7 8 0 0 5 26 25 +1.3
Coleman Hawkins * 37 3-8 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 2 0 7 10 +7.3
Terrence Shannon Jr. * 36 8-15 3-6 15-17 4 2 1 0 3 34 23 +4.3
Ty Rodgers * 17 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 1 7 8 -
Quincy Guerrier * 16 2-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -8.3
Dain Dainja 23 4-4 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 0 9 12 +13.4
Luke Goode 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 +14.5
Justin Harmon 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -8.2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.7

* = starter