Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 34 | 6-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | -3 | -1.9 |
| Malik Hall * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -5.2 |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Jaden Akins * | 24 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -9.7 |
| Carson Cooper * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Tre Holloman | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +15.8 |
| Xavier Booker | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Mady Sissoko | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Coen Carr | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +3.8 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Loyer * | 37 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Zach Edey * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 29 | +4.1 |
| Lance Jones * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Braden Smith * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Mason Gillis | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Camden Heide | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Myles Colvin | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Caleb Furst | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Ethan Morton | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.1 |
* = starter