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2024-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4897449 * 36 0-2 0-2 6-8 8 0 0 0 4 6 8 -
C. Hickman * 32 8-16 3-7 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 21 4 +1.1
D. Hannah * 28 4-10 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 8 5 +2.1
D. Deen * 27 5-7 0-1 3-3 1 5 1 0 2 13 11 +3.1
A. Atlason * 26 2-5 2-5 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 8 8 +3.1
C. Davis 29 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 8 6 -8.0
C. Linke 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +1.0
D. Burch 10 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 +2.0
C. Hardtke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. DeVries * 37 3-12 2-6 9-10 6 4 0 0 1 17 14 -3.1
C. Enright * 33 2-6 2-4 4-5 6 4 1 0 1 10 14 -5.1
A. Wright * 29 6-10 5-7 3-5 3 1 3 0 0 20 17 -
K. Overton * 27 2-8 1-4 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 8 4 -5.1
D. Brodie * 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 4 2 -3.0
N. Ferguson 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 4 +0.0
K. Gibson 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 2 +2.0
C. Garland 13 2-5 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 +2.0
C. Rosario 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +7.0

* = starter