Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Bal * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -15.7 |
| Carlos Marshall Jr. * | 31 | 11-20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 10 | -9.9 |
| Johnny O'Neil * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -11.0 |
| Jalen Benjamin * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Christoph Tilly * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Tyeree Bryan | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11.5 |
| Camaron Tongue | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -6.8 |
| Christian Hammond | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jake Ensminger | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -10.7 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney * | 39 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +16.0 |
| Mason Forbes * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +13.0 |
| Augustas Marciulionis * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +11.2 |
| Alex Ducas * | 32 | 7-11 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | +17.2 |
| Mitchell Saxen * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +16.3 |
| Luke Barrett | 26 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Chris Howell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Jordan Ross | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Cade Bennett | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Gad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter