Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Sykes * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Jordan Mason * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 27 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Christian Turner * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Dylan Dawson * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Dontae Horne | 19 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Coleton Benson | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Chris Nix | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Elijah Tate | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Freidel * | 36 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 9-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 21 | +8.2 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +12.4 |
| Xavier Brown * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Julien Wooden * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +9.4 |
| T.J. Bickerstaff * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Raekwon Horton | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Jaylen Carey | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Michael Green III | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Bryant Randleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter