Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fields * | 38 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Derrian Ford * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Taryn Todd * | 29 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | +0.5 |
| Freddy Hicks * | 29 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +9.3 |
| Avery Felts | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4.8 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum * | 36 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | -1 | +4.8 |
| Justin Abson * | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | -1.4 |
| Donovan Gregory * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Xavion Brown * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Tre'Von Spillers * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Myles Tate | 24 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -0.9 |
| CJ Huntley | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6.3 |
| Christopher Mantis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Jordan Marsh | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -1.1 |
* = starter