Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles -16 (59-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mason * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Sykes * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +4.3 |
| D. Dawson * | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +10.1 |
| C. Turner * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +13.9 |
| B. Love * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +6.9 |
| D. Horne | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | -0.1 |
| C. Benson | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| J. O'Garro | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.0 |
| C. Nix | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -3.0 |
| E. Tate | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Hart * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | -3.9 |
| A. Crowley * | 40 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | -3.8 |
| A. Curbelo * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -1.8 |
| V. Iwuakor * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -2.7 |
| T. Izay * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Mo Arnold | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.0 |
| C. Montgomery | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Armstrong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| T. Ryder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter