Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thomas * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Jake Davis * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jalyn McCreary * | 25 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -14.0 |
| Caleb Hunter * | 22 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -14.7 |
| Alex Holt * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Jah Quinones | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Jalen Cobb | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -4.4 |
| Robby Carmody | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +0.7 |
| TJ Grant | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -11.0 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones * | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Jaden Campbell * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +15.2 |
| Jermaine Marshall * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +14.0 |
| Achor Achor * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +14.8 |
| Dallas Graziani * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Garrett Hicks | 23 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +9.0 |
| Nathan Johnson | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Josh Holloway | 14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +6.3 |
| A.J. Staton-McCray | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Riley Allenspach | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Lukas Walls | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter