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2024-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - โœ—
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 โœ— (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% - โœ—

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Carter * 40 6-16 1-6 9-9 11 4 2 1 3 22 21 +2.0
Jayden Pierre * 35 6-16 1-6 2-2 4 7 0 0 0 15 10 -4.1
Rich Barron * 33 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 1 0 8 10 +1.0
Josh Oduro * 30 7-20 0-2 3-3 9 3 1 1 0 17 11 -3.2
Davonte Gaines * 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -3.5
Corey Floyd Jr. 19 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 8 +9.7
Garwey Dual 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 5 +6.4
Rafael Castro 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.5

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Kalkbrenner * 40 7-11 0-2 5-6 12 1 2 5 2 19 26 -1.8
Baylor Scheierman * 40 4-16 2-10 6-6 13 3 0 0 3 16 13 -1.7
Steven Ashworth * 38 3-13 1-8 9-9 5 6 1 0 2 16 13 +3.3
Trey Alexander * 36 7-14 2-3 3-5 2 0 0 0 3 19 4 -1.7
Mason Miller * 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +7.3
Francisco Farabello 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -7.3
Jasen Green 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.2

* = starter