Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431763 * | 36 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | +1.1 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Donovan Dent * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| J. Baker | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Tru Washington | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +0.0 |
| I. Mushila | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| S. Forsling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 31 | 2-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | -6.1 |
| Darrion Trammell * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Micah Parrish * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Jay Pal * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Elijah Saunders | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.0 |
| R. Waters | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Miles Byrd | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Miles Heide | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
* = starter