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2024-03-16

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 โœ— (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4431763 * 36 10-22 3-7 5-5 5 1 3 0 1 28 14 -
Jamal Mashburn * 35 6-16 3-8 6-7 4 0 2 0 0 21 11 -
JT Toppin * 35 6-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 0 0 13 18 -
N. Junior Joseph * 24 2-7 0-0 1-4 7 2 0 2 0 5 9 -
Donovan Dent * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Baker 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
Tru Washington 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mustapha Amzil 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 -
I. Mushila 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Forsling 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4397237 * 37 7-12 0-1 11-11 6 2 1 0 4 25 18 -
Lamont Butler * 31 2-13 2-6 1-2 0 3 0 0 1 7 -4 -
Darrion Trammell * 31 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 3 9 -
Micah Parrish * 28 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 7 6 -
Jay Pal * 23 3-6 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 3 1 8 8 -
Elijah Saunders 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Waters 17 2-7 0-3 3-3 5 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
Miles Byrd 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 3 1 0 7 -
Miles Heide 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter