Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432117 * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Joel Scott * | 31 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 15 | -14.0 |
| Player #4702384 * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Patrick Cartier * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -14.2 |
| Josiah Strong * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -11.1 |
| Jalen Lake | 28 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Joe Palmer | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Taviontae Jackson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Kyan. Evans | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.2 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431763 * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 16 | +14.9 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | +15.4 |
| Donovan Dent * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | +15.3 |
| J. Baker | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +5.2 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Tru Washington | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter