Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431763 * | 35 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 13 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | +12.0 |
| Donovan Dent * | 31 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 23 | +13.0 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 21 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| J. Baker | 22 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +8.8 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Tru Washington | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +7.4 |
| I. Mushila | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.1 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart * | 39 | 7-20 | 2-10 | 7-8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | -12.3 |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 37 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -7.7 |
| Max Rice * | 37 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | -11.5 |
| Roddie Anderson III * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -11.9 |
| O'Mar Stanley * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -15.5 |
| Player #4897492 | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Andrew Meadow | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Kobe Young | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter