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2024-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ—
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 โœ— (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -7 (78-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stevens * 39 5-11 2-5 3-4 2 7 1 0 3 15 11 -2.0
Nique Clifford * 32 5-8 0-2 4-6 10 5 2 3 1 14 25 +2.2
Josiah Strong * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 5 -2 -1.1
Patrick Cartier * 19 1-4 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -8.1
Joel Scott * 19 4-9 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 0 0 11 10 -4.0
Jalen Lake 24 5-6 3-3 3-4 3 1 1 0 0 16 15 +3.0
Joe Palmer 21 4-7 1-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 12 10 -3.2
Rashaan Mbemba 15 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 5 +6.9
Taviontae Jackson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 +0.1
Kyan. Evans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarod Lucas * 39 5-12 2-7 6-7 3 1 1 0 1 18 10 +2.7
Tre Coleman * 30 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
Kenan Blackshear * 30 6-9 0-0 4-7 4 6 0 1 4 16 14 +6.2
Nick Davidson * 25 4-6 0-1 1-1 6 1 2 2 2 9 12 +11.4
K.J. Hymes * 19 2-4 0-0 4-9 3 0 0 1 0 8 8 +8.3
Daniel Foster 25 2-4 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 5 5 -7.7
Tylan Pope 16 2-4 0-0 6-6 6 0 0 1 2 10 11 -8.8
Tyler Rolison 15 0-3 0-2 6-7 1 2 1 0 2 6 5 -5.0
Jazz Gardner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

* = starter