Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.8% | 33.2% | -3.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Butler * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Player #4397237 * | 39 | 11-21 | 1-1 | 11-18 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 31 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 30 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jay Pal * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Waters | 15 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Miles Heide | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keylan Boone * | 45 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 43 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Player #4396969 * | 41 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rob Whaley Jr. * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Shane Nowell * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Justin Webster | 18 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Karl Jones | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Boone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter