Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytis Petraitis * | 38 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 21 | -15.8 |
| Kellan Boylan * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -11.4 |
| Beau Becker * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -25.2 |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -17.7 |
| Ethan Taylor * | 22 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -8.9 |
| Byron Brown | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Luke Kearney | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Chase Beasley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Brady Ruggles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +25.9 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +22.4 |
| Player #4431763 * | 25 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 22 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | +3.0 |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mustapha Amzil | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +16.6 |
| Tru Washington | 21 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +3.5 |
| J. Baker | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +29.1 |
| I. Mushila | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Quinton Webb | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.5 |
| S. Forsling | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Braden Appelhans | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5.1 |
* = starter