Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | +5.5 |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +6.7 |
| Cameron Matthews * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +10.5 |
| Player #4397882 * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Shakeel Moore | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| KeShawn Murphy | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5.1 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Ward * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Jordan Wright * | 30 | 2-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -13.6 |
| Trae Hannibal * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -2.6 |
| Derek Fountain * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Player #4431691 * | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mike Williams III | 24 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Hunter Dean | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Jalen Reed | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.0 |
* = starter