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2024-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Lubin * 38 9-15 1-2 2-4 10 0 3 2 2 21 19 -
E. Manjon * 37 12-19 0-1 5-7 5 6 0 0 3 29 18 -0.4
T. Lawrence * 35 2-5 1-2 1-3 6 3 2 0 0 6 12 +1.5
J. Roberts * 29 2-4 2-3 4-4 1 0 1 0 1 10 7 -4.0
M. Presley * 29 3-7 1-3 1-3 4 2 1 0 3 8 5 +2.9
E. Taylor 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 3 +2.7
I. West 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.6
T. Kamateros 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.6
P. Lewis 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -5.6
J. Williams 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4.8

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brazile * 42 5-10 3-6 0-0 12 1 2 4 0 13 22 +8.7
K. Battle * 40 5-12 1-5 13-14 6 3 2 0 4 24 19 +7.9
T. Mark * 38 6-12 2-6 4-4 4 2 1 0 1 18 12 +9.2
Player #4897145 * 22 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 1 -
C. Lawson * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.7
M. Mitchell 35 7-11 0-0 4-6 7 3 2 3 1 18 21 +3.1
D. Davis 32 4-9 2-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 1 12 6 +7.9
J. Davenport 5 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.1

* = starter