Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Diarra * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Michael O'Connell * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +11.4 |
| Casey Morsell * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Jayden Taylor * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.5 |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 24 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -0.7 |
| DJ Horne | 40 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +4.4 |
| Breon Pass | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.6 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432187 * | 42 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Isaac McKneely * | 41 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | -1.8 |
| Player #4888725 * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Player #4594263 * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Taine Murray * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Andrew Rohde | 19 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Jacob Groves | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -16.8 |
| Blake Buchanan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Dante Harris | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
* = starter