Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Hinson * | 40 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | -2.6 |
| Carlton Carrington * | 40 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | -2.5 |
| Jaland Lowe * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Federiko Federiko * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zack Austin * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Ishmael Leggett | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +5.2 |
| William Jeffress | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Harrison Ingram * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Armando Bacot * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 21 | +3.9 |
| Cormac Ryan * | 33 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +5.9 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Seth Trimble | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Jalen Washington | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter