Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Diarra * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Michael O'Connell * | 35 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +6.3 |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Jayden Taylor * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Casey Morsell * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +7.3 |
| DJ Horne | 36 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | +9.9 |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Breon Pass | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Proctor * | 40 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Jeremy Roach * | 38 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Mark Mitchell * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 34 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 25 | +2.1 |
| Jared McCain * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -6.8 |
| TJ Power | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Ryan Young | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Sean Stewart | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
| Jaylen Blakes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter