Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +25 (92-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Warley * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -12.4 |
| Jamir Watkins * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -13.7 |
| Cameron Corhen * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Darin Green Jr. * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Baba Miller * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -14.8 |
| Primo Spears | 23 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | -10.0 |
| Chandler Jackson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaylan Gainey | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4.9 |
| T.B. Bowen | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.3 |
| De'Ante Green | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Nickelberry | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Tom House | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | +14.2 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +18.4 |
| Harrison Ingram * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | +23.5 |
| Cormac Ryan * | 26 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +18.1 |
| Armando Bacot * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +20.1 |
| Seth Trimble | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Jalen Washington | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Paxson Wojcik | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Zayden High | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.1 |
| James Okonkwo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Duwe Farris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Rob Landry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Creighton Lebo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter