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2024-03-13

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Margin 62.3% 37.7% -2.8 โœ“ (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.8% 29.2% - โœ“

Actual: Syracuse Orange -18 (65-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayden Taylor * 34 6-12 3-7 3-5 9 1 1 1 2 18 16 -
Casey Morsell * 34 2-9 0-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 6 0 +17.9
Mohamed Diarra * 32 2-7 0-2 4-4 14 6 2 1 2 8 22 -
Michael O'Connell * 30 4-6 3-3 5-6 4 3 2 0 2 16 17 +0.5
DJ Burns Jr. * 24 7-12 0-0 1-1 6 3 0 0 0 15 12 -
DJ Horne 20 6-13 1-3 3-4 1 2 4 0 0 16 10 +14.6
Ben Middlebrooks 16 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 +3.4
Breon Pass 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 +1.9
Kam Woods 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maliq Brown * 39 5-6 1-2 0-0 12 3 2 2 4 11 20 -9.9
Player #4684729 * 36 9-21 0-3 3-4 5 4 2 0 6 21 5 -
JJ Starling * 35 4-10 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 9 4 -11.0
Justin Taylor * 25 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.0
Chris Bell * 21 4-6 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 11 5 -13.1
Quadir Copeland 31 4-10 1-5 2-2 5 4 1 0 6 11 5 -13.9
Kyle Cuffe Jr. 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
Peter Carey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter