Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.4% | 26.6% | -5.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -19 (70-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sami Whitcomb | 35 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Gabby Williams | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 25 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 23 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 18 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Horston | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 16 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| N. Muhl | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Griner | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 18 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Monique Billings | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Amy Atwell | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter