Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -4 (81-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 34 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 30 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 22 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Monique Billings | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Amy Atwell | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Griner | 14 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Li Yueru | 31 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 27 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 25 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 20 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 17 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 13 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter