Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Carleton | 37 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 33 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 36 | 12-27 | 3-6 | 11-13 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 31 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 33 | 4-21 | 2-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter